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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Divergence between Dollar and TNOTE: Implications for EUR/USD

08:49 30 October 2023

This week will be particularly important for the EUR/USD, as we will have several macroeconomic data releases regarding the US and the FOMC decision on Wednesday. The weak performance of the equities has been benefiting the US dollar, which has managed to exert pressure on the euro.

However, on the daily chart, we can see that the price has been able to slow down the downward movement near the lower channel boundary. Furthermore, the price has already rejected the bottom of the channel twice. If the price continues to be traded above the channel, the short-term upward movement should be considered.

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Daily time frame chart. Source: xStation 5

 

In the chart of the US dollar index and TNOTE, we can see that the divergence continues. Furthermore, we observe that the upward momentum in the US dollar index is beginning to lose strength, which could support the recovery of the EUR/USD pair

 

TNOTE and USDIDX Daily time frame chart. Source: xStation 5

Currency Strength. Source: currency-strength.com

Henrique Tomé,
Analyst Portugal

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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