As we will learn a number of macro data from the US economy today and today we have 'Freaky Friday' so elevated volatility among Wall Street indices may continue. Although the share of industrial companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is quite limited these days, it is still substantial (including Boeing, Honewyell and General Electric) - it is today that we will learn data from US industry. The industrial production reading at 2:15 PM BST may show whether consumer and business demand is indeed strong enough to stimulate production, and data on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations will complete the picture of overall prosperity in the U.S. economy.
In the results of the rollover in the options and derivatives market, today's volatility on US30 may accelerate - and if investors' new positioning will be in line with the current upward trendline there are chances for a strong session on Wall Street. A Bank of America survey indicated a record $26.4 billion in inflows into US equity market this week, the vast majority of which ($18.7 billion) flowed into large-cap companies. Analysts pointed out that the market consensus is reassuring of a successful scenario for the stock market - a soft landing of the economy in the United States.
Start investing today or test a free demo
Open real account TRY DEMO Download mobile app Download mobile appLooking at the Dow Jones (US30) contracts, we see that they are quite close to historical highs, and it is possible that the bulls will eventually reach record levels above 36,000 points. The upward trend line is maintained, and the index has not approached the SMA 200 (red line) since September 2022, demand reacted quickly in the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement zone at 32,400 points. So far, the current week has been exceptionally successful for the Dow Jones, as illustrated by the green candle with a large body. Seasonally, September has often proved to be a suitable time for stock accumulation for the last, usually successful 'Christmas quarter.' Bulls are hoping that this will also be the case this time.
Source: xStation5
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.
