Investors returned to the cryptocurrency market contributing to double-digit gains for some projects and giving hope for a renewed 'retest' of Bitcoin's resistance near $17,000:
- Potentially bankrupt Genesis Capital, which operates in the cryptocurrency lending market, reassured the market yesterday, contrary to Bloomberg reports, indicating that it has no plans to declare bankruptcy at this time. The company likely still holds 175 million FTX exchange tolenes, which have fallen in value from nearly $80 to nearly $1.5 today. According to recent reports, Genesis Capital made loans to the bankrupt Alameda Research fund. The loans were to be 'collateralized' with FTX tokens, whose value is currently scouring the bottom;
- Consulting firm Alvarez & Marsal, which advises FTX identified "significantly higher cash balances" than were initially known. The current FTX balance of $1.24 billion still represents a significant shortfall compared to the billions FTX owes its creditors. As of Saturday 19 November, FTX owed its largest 50 unsecured creditors $3.1 billion.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading higher today. Litecoin and Binanceoin, however, are the best performers, both gaining more than 10%.
Long-term investors still losing their conviction?
The value of Bitcoin traded older than six months recently reached the highest value in the last 5 years. Nearly 130,000 BTC were issued on November 17, and the weekly average is still above 50,000 BTC per day. The on-chain data indicates significant stress on long-term investors which still poses a risk of capitulation since these investors hold the largest share of all available BTC on the market. Source: Glassnode
In the face of the FTX bankruptcy, a total of 254,000 BTCs were sold that were more than 6 months old (nearly 1.3% of the total circulating supply of Bitcoin). The 30-day change shows that this is the steepest drop in the supply of older coins since the January 2021 bull market when long-term investors took advantage of the bull market to distribute Bitcoin at a profit. Source: Glassnode
The Dormancy chart indicates the average 'age' of Bitcoin sold. The indicator shows that the average age of liquidated Bitcoin has increased and is now 44 days and signals a higher supply of long-term investors (blue chart). At the same time, the supply of 'dormant' Bitcoin, adjusted for internal reshuffling of on-chain wallets (red chart), has also increased and now stands at 78 days. The data confirms the supply-side reaction of investors with the statistically highest level of conviction to the collapse of the FTX exchange. Source: Glassnode
BinanceCoin chart, D1 interval. The Binance cryptocurrency exchange token has erased much of the losses caused by the drop in sentiment around the cryptocurrency market and is rising above the two key moving averages SMA50 (black line) and SMA200 (red line) signaling an attempted trend reversal. Following the collapse of FTX, the centralized exchange owned by Chanpeng Zhao accounts for about 64% of cryptocurrency trading and has become the main centralized player in the industry. Source: xStation5
Bitcoin chart, H4 interval. The main cryptocurrency is trying to unwind the declines, on the chart we see a double hole formation near $15,500. The main resistance still runs around $17,000, which coincides with the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement and from where another downward impulse towards $14,000 could potentially be triggered. Source: xStation5
